Current Conditions 10 October 2014

The image below shows the latest status for a number of factors driving tourism. Based on an analysis of over forty different series, grouped into eight ‘segments’, the chart above clearly comes with a hefty health warning, with the ‘scoring’ of each factor being as much art as it is science.

To read more detail about transport, weather, tourism and economic news which is affecting current tourism conditions open each section in the links below.

CC Jul 14 image
Transport News
Transport
  • According to IATA the price of air travel fell in real terms by 7.4% in 2013 

  • According to IATA Dublin-London was the second most heavily used international air route during 2013 behind Hong Kong-Chinese Taipei 

  • A record 7.05 million passengers travelled through Heathrow in August, up 1.3% on August 2013, making it Heathrow’s busiest ever month.  17th of August also saw Heathrow’s record busiest day, with 241,412 passengers passing through the terminals 

  • Passenger numbers at Glasgow Airport during August were 4.9% up on last year, while at Aberdeen they rose by 8.8% and at Southampton by 2.8% 

  • Edinburgh Airport handled 1.1 million terminal passengers in August, 2.9% up on a year ago and the second consecutive ‘million’ month 

  • Gatwick Airport handled a record 4.4 million passengers during August, up 8.2% on a year ago

  • British Airways reported an annual 6.8% increase in revenue passenger kms during August 

  • British Airways saw a 6.1% annual increase in revenue passenger kms in September 

  • Germanwings has launched double-daily flights from Dusseldorf to Stansted 

  • From May 2015 all three daily flights operated by Etihad from Abu Dhabi to London Heathrow will utilise Airbus A380 aircraft 

  • From May 2015 Norwegian plans to increase the number of flights it operates to Gatwick from New York from 3 to 6 per week, while it will also increase the number of weekly flights from Los Angeles to Gatwick from 2 to 4 

  • From late October Aer Lingus Regional will operate 13 weekly flights from Dublin to Leeds Bradford 

  • Virgin Atlantic is to axe flights to London from Tokyo, Mumbai, Vancouver and Cape Town but is to introduce a new daily flight to Heathrow from Detroit and increase frequencies from New York JFK, Los Angeles, San Francisco and Atlanta    

  • From end March 2015 Wizz Air will fly twice weekly from Katowice to Belfast and add additional weekly flights from Katowice to London Luton, Doncaster Sheffield, from Gdansk to Glasgow and London Luton, from Lublin to London Luton and from Poznan to Doncaster Sheffield, Glasgow and London Luton 

  • Flights from Italy to Britain disrupted on 6 September due to an air traffic controllers strike 

  • Disruption to flights to/from Luton Airport on 8 September due to a security alert

  • A strike by Lufthansa pilots causes some flight cancellations to Britain from Munich

  • From late March 2015 British Airways will deploy an Airbus A380 aircraft on some of its flights to Heathrow from San Francisco, thereby increasing seat capacity on the route

  • From late October British Airways franchise partner Sun Air of Scandinavia will introduce double-daily (Monday to Friday) flights between Hamburg and London City

  • From spring 2015 British Airways will introduce flights from Seville to London Gatwick

  • British Airways will launch a daily flight from Kuala Lumpur to Heathrow from May 2015

  • From late March British Airways is reducing the number of flights it operates from Buenos Aires to London Heathrow from daily to five per week

  • From late March British Airways is suspending flights from Colombo to London Gatwick

  • A strike by Air France pilots results in numerous flight cancellations for around two weeks

  • From late October CityJet is axing flights to Cambridge from Amsterdam and Dublin

  • Virgin Atlantic confirms that it will end domestic flights in 2015, with the Little Red Manchester to Heathrow service ceasing in March and flights to Heathrow from Edinburgh and Aberdeen ending in September

  • Blackpool Airport closes

  • From early February Aer Lingus will operate up to two daily services from Dublin to East Midlands 

Weather
Weather
  • Met Office figures show that across the UK August was slightly cooler than normal (and the coolest since 1993) and rainfall amounts were exceptionally above average, although sunshine totals were slightly above the seasonal norm

  • Met Office figures show that across the UK it was the driest September since records began in 1910, temperatures were exceptionally above average while sunshine totals were close to their seasonal norm

Domestic Economic News
Domestic Economic News
  • The UK moves up one spot in the World Economic Forum’s ‘Global Competitiveness Index’ to hold 9th place – the index is headed by Switzerland and Singapore  

  • UK construction output falls in August

European Economic News
European Economic News
  • French unemployment rose sharply in July to reach 3.4 million, up 4.3% on a year ago

  • Switzerland’s economy saw now growth in the second quarter of 2014, the worst performance for two years

  • The European Central Bank has lowered its base rate to 0.05%

  • The price of sterling for visitors from Russia is now 20% higher than it was at this time last year due to concerns over prospects for the Russian economy

  • German business confidence fell for the fifth consecutive month in September

  • The annual rate of Eurozone consumer price inflation fell further in September to just 0.3%

  • European Central Bank warns that the Eurozone economic recovery is losing momentum 

US Economic News
US Economic News
  • Revised estimates suggest that the US economy grew by 4.6% in the second quarter of 2014

  • US unemployment fell to a six-year low in September and now stands at 5.9% 

Global Economic News
Global Economic News
  • Japanese GDP fell by 1.8% in the second quarter of 2014, a worse than expected ‘rebound’ from the sharp spike in growth courtesy of consumer spending ahead of sales tax increases this spring 

  • Japanese consumer confidence declined for the first time in four months during August 

Tourism News
Tourism News
  • According to STR Global during July Manchester hotels witnessed an annual 18.5% increase in average daily room rates 

  • According to STR Global there were 5,110 hotel rooms under construction in Greater London as at end July 2014

  • am:pm report that 66% of current budget hotel supply and 98% of the active budget pipeline is ‘branded’

  • According to STR Global UK hotel occupancy during August stood at 83.4% up from 80.5% a year ago while average daily room rates were up 5.5% to £83.91.  Revenue per available room stood at £70.00, up 8.5% on last year

  • According to Capgemina New York remains the US city that is home to the most High Net Worth Individuals with 894,000, well ahead of Los Angeles in second spot with 330,000

  • Recent strengthening in the value of the US dollar against a basket of currencies has helped depress the price of oil, now trading at a four-year low 

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